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我国溃坝生命损失评价模型初步研究
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【英文篇名】Evaluation model of loss of life due to dam breach in China
【作者中文名】周克发; 李雷; 盛金保;
【作者英文名】ZHOU Ke-fa; LI Lei; SHENG Jin-bao(Dam Safety and Management Department; Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute; Nanjing 210029; China);
【作者单位】南京水利科学研究院大坝安全与管理研究所; 南京水利科学研究院大坝安全与管理研究所 南京;
【文献出处】安全与环境学报Journal of Safety and Environment,  2007年 03期  
期刊荣誉:ASPT来源刊  CJFD收录刊
【关键词】水利管理; 溃坝; 生命损失; 评价模型;
【英文关键词】water conservancy; dam breach; loss of life; evaluation model;
【摘要】根据我国8座已溃决大坝的现场调查结果,结合国内外溃坝生命损失研究成果,初步研究并提出适合我国实际情况的溃坝生命损失评价模型和风险人口死亡率,应用该模型和Graham法估算了这8座水库的溃坝生命损失,与实际生命损失情况进行了比较。结果表明,模型具有一定的适用性。
【英文摘要】This paper has brought forward a preliminary assessment model of casualty and material loss due to the dam breach and death data of the population at risk in accordance with the in-situ investigation results with the eight breached dams in China. We have also studied the similar cases and the returns of loss of life in reference to the dam breach abroad. In addition, the paper has also illustrated the main influential factors leading the dam breach, which determines the corresponding range of the values of ...
【基金】

 

科技部社会公益研究专向基金项目(2002DIA30017,2005DIB2J059)


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